Arsenal Emerge as Champions League Favourites
Arsenal may have never lifted the UEFA Champions League trophy, but if the latest predictions from the Opta supercomputer are anything to go by, this could be the year history changes for the North London giants.
According to the most recent data model update, Mikel Arteta’s side are now the favourites to win the 2025 Champions League, with a calculated 18.1% chance of lifting the trophy at the end of the season — the highest among all contenders.
Top 10 Clubs by Champions League Win Probability (via Opta)
- Arsenal – 18.1%
- Liverpool – 14.7%
- Paris Saint-Germain – 14.0%
- Manchester City – 9.7%
- Bayern Munich – 9.5%
- Barcelona – 8.2%
- Real Madrid – 5.0%
- Inter Milan – 3.7%
- Chelsea – 3.5%
- Newcastle United – 3.1%
The algorithm weighs a combination of current form, underlying team metrics, and historical Champions League performance to calculate each club’s chances of winning Europe’s most prestigious tournament.
